Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.016602 0.020771 0.026241 0.034179 0.045827 0.063063 0.092184
2025-01-26 0.012520 0.017369 0.024804 0.037922 0.062830 0.114779 0.260328
2025-02-02 0.010497 0.015569 0.024208 0.041816 0.083180 0.203784 0.856475
2025-02-09 0.008780 0.013588 0.022361 0.042125 0.096742 0.311250 3.009864
2025-02-16 0.007600 0.012163 0.020962 0.042535 0.111645 0.483304 22.341569
2025-02-23 0.006691 0.010997 0.019682 0.042547 0.126210 0.752386 216003.601972
2025-03-02 0.005818 0.009720 0.017814 0.040118 0.129439 0.995104 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005205 0.008840 0.016598 0.039017 0.138059 1.463687 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004813 0.008335 0.016108 0.039911 0.159214 2.802152 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004449 0.007827 0.015490 0.040136 0.178430 5.642007 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004032 0.007149 0.014324 0.037991 0.179195 8.430843 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003722 0.006664 0.013555 0.037013 0.188444 16.770952 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003536 0.006465 0.013589 0.039617 0.242331 449.041764 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003415 0.006399 0.013986 0.044227 0.348722 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003297 0.006318 0.014326 0.049056 0.513549 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003085 0.005980 0.013825 0.049442 0.614997 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002901 0.005685 0.013387 0.049953 0.746039 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002728 0.005396 0.012908 0.049967 0.886121 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002521 0.004999 0.012008 0.046946 0.873945 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002364 0.004711 0.011417 0.045581 0.944358 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002262 0.004552 0.011221 0.046689 1.213019 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002157 0.004373 0.010923 0.046968 1.486826 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.002019 0.004099 0.010258 0.044312 1.444097 NaN NaN